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09.13.05


Linux To Mainstream Countdown: 5 Years

By David Utter

Research firm Gartner thinks 2010 will see Linux reaching a point of acceptance by the mass market.

It will take bulletproof reliability in the data center, but if Linux can reach that level of maturity in five years, Gartner thinks it will have passed the corporate acid test. The push from IBM and other firms, in addition to corporate support options, will be the big factor.

ZDNet mentions Gartner's 'hype cycle' report, and while the server-side looks promising, the desktop may be an uphill battle Linux can't win:

On the desktop, Linux is having a tougher time. Gartner claims the operating system is reaching the point where the costs of migration may exceed the cost benefits in a phase characterized by over-enthusiasm and unrealistic projections which lead to more failures than successes.

Performance and security concerns will have to be addressed over the next five years. When firms can rely on mission-critical applications being available and safe on Linux, the cost savings it can offer will be a big factor for IT departments evaluating it as a platform. Improvements in storage and system management by the end of the year, as expected by Gartner, will also help.


About the Author:
David Utter is a staff writer for WebProNews covering technology and business.

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